Update 社福支出.html
Browse files
社福支出.html
CHANGED
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<head>
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<meta charset="UTF-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title
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<style>
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:root {
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--c-primary: #2c5aa0;
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top: 0;
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background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.95);
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backdrop-filter: blur(10px);
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border-bottom: 1px solid var(--c-border);
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z-index: 100;
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padding: 10px 0;
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gap: 20px;
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overflow-x: auto;
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padding: 0 20px;
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}
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.nav-list a {
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text-decoration: none;
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/* Hero Section */
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.hero {
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #
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color: white;
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text-align: center;
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padding: 80px 20px;
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background: white;
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padding: 30px;
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border-radius: 12px;
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(
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}
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.overview-icon {
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}
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.section-head h2 {
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font-size: 2.5rem;
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color: var(--c-primary);
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margin-bottom: 15px;
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}
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.section-head p {
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font-size: 18px;
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color: var(--c-text-light);
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}
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/* Chapter Sections */
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border-bottom: 1px solid var(--c-border);
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}
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.chapter:nth-child(even) {
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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}
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max-width: 680px;
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margin: 0 auto;
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}
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/* KPI Cards */
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.kpi-grid {
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padding: 40px 30px;
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border-radius: 12px;
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text-align: center;
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(
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transition: transform 0.3s ease;
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}
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color: var(--c-primary);
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margin-bottom: 15px;
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}
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.kpi-desc {
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font-size: 16px;
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color: var(--c-text-light);
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}
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/* Flow Chart */
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.flowmap {
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background: white;
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padding: 40px;
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border-radius: 12px;
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margin: 40px 0;
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.08);
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}
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.flow-nodes {
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display: flex;
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flex-direction: column;
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gap: 20px;
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align-items: center;
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}
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.flow-node {
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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padding: 20px 30px;
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border-radius: 8px;
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border-left: 4px solid var(--c-primary);
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text-align: center;
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position: relative;
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max-width: 300px;
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}
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.flow-arrow {
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font-size: 20px;
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color: var(--c-primary);
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}
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.flow-explanation {
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margin-top: 30px;
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padding: 20px;
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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border-radius: 8px;
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font-size: 15px;
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line-height: 1.6;
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}
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/* Timeline */
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.timeline {
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position: relative;
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padding: 40px 0;
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}
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.timeline::before {
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margin-bottom: 40px;
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position: relative;
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}
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.timeline-item:nth-child(odd) {
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flex-direction: row-reverse;
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width: calc(50% - 30px);
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position: relative;
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}
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.timeline-date {
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font-weight:
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color: var(--c-primary);
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margin-bottom: 10px;
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}
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position: absolute;
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left: 50%;
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top: 20px;
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width:
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height:
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background:
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border-radius: 50%;
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transform: translateX(-50%);
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}
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/* Pull Quotes */
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}
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.pullquote::before {
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content: '
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font-
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color: var(--c-accent);
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position: absolute;
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top: 10px;
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left:
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opacity: 0.
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}
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.pullquote-text {
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font-style: italic;
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margin-bottom: 20px;
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padding-left: 40px;
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}
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.pullquote-author {
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color: var(--c-text-light);
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}
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/* Figures */
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figure {
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margin: 40px 0;
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text-align: center;
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}
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figure img {
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max-width: 100%;
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height: auto;
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border-radius: 8px;
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box-shadow: 0 4px 15px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
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}
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.chart-placeholder {
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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padding: 60px 40px;
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border-radius: 8px;
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border: 2px dashed var(--c-border);
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margin: 20px 0;
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}
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figcaption {
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/* Sources and Credits */
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.sources, .credits {
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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padding: 40px 0;
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}
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.source-list {
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list-style: none;
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margin-top: 20px;
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}
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.source-list li {
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.source-list li:last-child {
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border-bottom: none;
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}
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/* Back to Top */
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.back-to-top {
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background: var(--c-accent);
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transform: translateY(-3px);
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}
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/* Responsive */
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@media (max-width: 768px) {
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.overview-item {
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flex-direction: column;
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text-align: center;
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}
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.timeline::before {
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left: 20px;
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}
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.timeline-item
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padding-left: 50px;
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}
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.timeline-content
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width: 100%;
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}
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.timeline-dot {
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left:
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}
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.kpi-grid {
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grid-template-columns: 1fr;
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}
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.flow-nodes {
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padding: 0 20px;
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}
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}
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/* Print Styles */
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@media print {
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.nav, .back-to-top {
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display: none !important;
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}
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.hero {
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background: none !important;
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color: var(--c-text) !important;
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}
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.chapter, .overview, .sources, .credits {
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background: none !important;
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}
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body {
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font-size: 12pt;
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line-height: 1.4;
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}
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}
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</style>
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</head>
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<body>
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<nav class="nav" id="nav">
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</nav>
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<section class="hero" id="hero">
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<div class="hero-content">
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<span class="hero-tag"
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<h1
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<h2
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<p class="hero-intro">
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</p>
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</div>
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</section>
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<section class="overview" id="overview">
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<div class="container">
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<div class="section-head">
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<h2
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<p
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</div>
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<div class="overview-list">
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<div class="overview-item">
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<div class="overview-icon">📉</div>
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<div>
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<h3
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="overview-item">
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<div class="overview-icon"
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<div>
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<h3
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</div>
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<div class="overview-item">
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<div>
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<h3
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<h3 class="chapter-title">人口結構的未來衝擊</h3>
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<div class="chapter-content">
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<p>
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[cite_start]根據年輪變動比法(Cohort Change Ratio Method)推估,高雄市未來十年將面臨深刻的人口結構轉變。預計到123年底,全市總人口將從113年底的273萬人下降至258萬人,減少15萬人。 [cite: 81, 82]
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[cite_start]然而,在總人口減少的同時,高齡化趨勢卻在加速。65歲以上老年人口將從54萬人增加至70萬人,成長近30%;而15-64歲的工作年齡人口則將從189萬人減少至165萬人,大幅減少24萬人。 [cite: 82] [cite_start]這一增一減的趨勢,直接導致社會扶養負擔的惡化。代表每百名工作人口需扶養老年人數的「扶老比」,將從113年的29,大幅攀升至123年的43,顯示人口老化將使經濟與社會負擔逐年加劇。 [cite: 83]
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<section class="chapter" id="regional">
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<div class="container">
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<div class="chapter-content">
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<h2>關鍵數字</h2>
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<p
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<div class="kpi-grid">
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<div class="kpi-card">
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<div class="kpi-number">-23%</div>
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<div class="kpi-number">74億元</div>
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<div class="kpi-desc">113年三大老人社福支出</div>
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[cite_start]<div class="kpi-source">(來源:社會局 [cite: 230])</div>
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<div class="kpi-number">39%</div>
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<div class="kpi-desc">三大支出佔113年社福決算比例</div>
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[cite_start]<div class="kpi-source">(來源:社會局 [cite: 230])</div>
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<div class="timeline-date">114年 (轉折點)</div>
|
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[cite_start]<div>扶老比預計突破30。 [cite: 452] [cite_start]三大社福支出預估將突破80億元 (40+29+9=78億,實際應為接近80億)。 [cite: 275, 313, 345]</div>
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[cite_start]65歲以上與15-64歲人口消長情形,彰顯未來10年本市社會負擔逐年加劇。 [cite: 81]
|
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<div class="pullquote-author">— 人口推估結果分析</div>
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[cite_start]當前看似可負擔之支出,將隨著未來老年人口倍增而產生「放大效應」,使總支出大幅增加,產生財政負擔,並可能排擠其他重要預算。 [cite: 439]
|
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<div class="pullquote-author">— 政策建議</div>
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[cite_start]田寮區、美濃區、杉林區等人口減少均超過15%且扶老比均逾70%,社會負擔較為嚴峻,為社會照護高度需求區域。 [cite: 434]
|
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<div class="pullquote-author">— 區域分析結論</div>
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[cite_start]建議依人口預測結果建置「老人社會福利規劃計算機」,動態模擬其對中長期財政之影響,從而提升決策參考之科學性、靈活性及前瞻性。 [cite: 441]
|
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<div class="pullquote-author">— 政策建議</div>
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<strong>圖表草稿:高雄市人口年齡結構變化圖 (圖4)</strong><br>
|
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類型:折線圖<br>
|
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X軸:年度 (109年-123年)<br>
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Y軸:人口數 (萬人)<br>
|
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重點:清楚呈現15-64歲人口曲線向下,65歲以上人口曲獻向上,0-14歲人口曲線微幅向下的分歧趨勢。
|
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|
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[cite_start]<figcaption>高雄市109年至123年各年齡層人口變化趨勢(資料來源:本文推估) [cite: 146]</figcaption>
|
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|
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<li>余清祥、王信忠、陳譽騰."年輪變動比用於小區域人口推估的探討."
|
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<li>"健全財政因應超高齡社會來臨."
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<li>內政部戶政司全球資訊網「人口統計資料」</li>
|
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<li
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<li>國家發展委員會「中華民國人口推估」</li>
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<h2>製作團隊</h2>
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<p><strong>發布時間</strong>:2025年9月【報告發布時間】</p>
|
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<p><strong>更新時間</strong>:2025年9月</p>
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display: none; /* Chrome, Safari, and Opera */
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #2c5aa0 0%, #1e3c72 100%);
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color: white;
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text-align: center;
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background: white;
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padding: 30px;
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border-radius: 12px;
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(44, 90, 160, 0.08);
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transition: transform 0.3s ease, box-shadow 0.3s ease;
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margin-bottom: 15px;
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/* Timeline */
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position: relative;
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margin-bottom: 40px;
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position: relative;
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color: var(--c-primary);
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margin-bottom: 10px;
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position: absolute;
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left: 50%;
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top: 20px;
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background: white;
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border: 3px solid var(--c-primary);
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border-radius: 50%;
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transform: translateX(-50%);
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z-index: 1;
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}
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/* Pull Quotes */
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}
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.pullquote::before {
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content: '“';
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font-family: serif;
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font-size: 6rem;
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color: var(--c-accent);
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position: absolute;
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font-style: italic;
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margin-bottom: 20px;
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padding-left: 40px;
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}
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.pullquote-author {
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color: var(--c-text-light);
|
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}
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/* Figures & Charts */
|
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figure {
|
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margin: 40px 0;
|
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text-align: center;
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}
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|
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background: var(--c-secondary);
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padding: 60px 40px;
|
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border-radius: 8px;
|
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border: 2px dashed var(--c-border);
|
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margin: 20px 0;
|
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transition: background-color 0.3s ease;
|
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|
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|
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/* Sources and Credits */
|
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.sources, .credits {
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padding: 40px 0;
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|
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|
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.source-list {
|
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list-style: none;
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margin-top: 20px;
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}
|
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.source-list li {
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.source-list li:last-child {
|
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border-bottom: none;
|
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|
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|
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|
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/* Back to Top */
|
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.back-to-top {
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background: var(--c-accent);
|
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transform: translateY(-3px);
|
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}
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|
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opacity: 0;
|
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|
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transition: opacity 0.6s ease-out, transform 0.6s ease-out;
|
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}
|
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.fade-in.visible {
|
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opacity: 1;
|
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transform: translateY(0);
|
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|
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|
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|
| 484 |
/* Responsive */
|
| 485 |
@media (max-width: 768px) {
|
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|
| 490 |
.overview-item {
|
| 491 |
flex-direction: column;
|
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text-align: center;
|
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+
align-items: center;
|
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}
|
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|
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.timeline::before {
|
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left: 20px;
|
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+
transform: translateX(0);
|
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}
|
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|
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.timeline-item,
|
| 502 |
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.timeline-item:nth-child(odd) {
|
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+
flex-direction: column;
|
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padding-left: 50px;
|
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}
|
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|
| 507 |
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.timeline-content,
|
| 508 |
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.timeline-item:nth-child(odd) .timeline-content {
|
| 509 |
width: 100%;
|
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+
text-align: left;
|
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}
|
| 512 |
|
| 513 |
.timeline-dot {
|
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+
left: 12px;
|
| 515 |
}
|
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|
| 517 |
.kpi-grid {
|
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grid-template-columns: 1fr;
|
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}
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| 520 |
}
|
| 521 |
</style>
|
| 522 |
</head>
|
| 523 |
<body>
|
| 524 |
+
<!-- Navigation -->
|
| 525 |
<nav class="nav" id="nav">
|
| 526 |
+
<div class="container">
|
| 527 |
+
<ul class="nav-list">
|
| 528 |
+
<li><a href="#hero" data-target="hero" class="active">報告首頁</a></li>
|
| 529 |
+
<li><a href="#overview" data-target="overview">三大發現</a></li>
|
| 530 |
+
<li><a href="#projection" data-target="projection">人口推估</a></li>
|
| 531 |
+
<li><a href="#expenditure" data-target="expenditure">社福支出</a></li>
|
| 532 |
+
<li><a href="#kpi" data-target="kpi">關鍵數字</a></li>
|
| 533 |
+
<li><a href="#timeline" data-target="timeline">未來時程</a></li>
|
| 534 |
+
<li><a href="#sources" data-target="sources">資料來源</a></li>
|
| 535 |
+
</ul>
|
| 536 |
+
</div>
|
| 537 |
</nav>
|
| 538 |
|
| 539 |
+
<!-- Hero Section -->
|
| 540 |
<section class="hero" id="hero">
|
| 541 |
<div class="hero-content">
|
| 542 |
+
<span class="hero-tag">統計專題分析</span>
|
| 543 |
+
<h1>高齡化下的財政挑戰</h1>
|
| 544 |
+
<h2>以人口預測觀察高雄市老人社會福利支出變化</h2>
|
| 545 |
<p class="hero-intro">
|
| 546 |
+
隨著高齡化趨勢加劇,人口結構變化已成為地方政府資源分配的關鍵議題。本報告透過人口推估,深入分析未來十年高雄市的人口結構轉變,並衡量其對老人社會福利支出的深遠影響,為政策規劃提供前瞻性參考。
|
| 547 |
</p>
|
| 548 |
</div>
|
| 549 |
</section>
|
| 550 |
|
| 551 |
+
<!-- Overview Section -->
|
| 552 |
<section class="overview" id="overview">
|
| 553 |
<div class="container">
|
| 554 |
<div class="section-head">
|
| 555 |
+
<h2>三大核心發現</h2>
|
| 556 |
+
<p>未來十年高雄市即將面臨的挑戰與轉變</p>
|
| 557 |
</div>
|
| 558 |
<div class="overview-list">
|
| 559 |
<div class="overview-item">
|
| 560 |
<div class="overview-icon">📉</div>
|
| 561 |
<div>
|
| 562 |
+
<h3>人口結構轉變</h3>
|
| 563 |
+
<p>預估至民國123年,高雄總人口將減少15萬人,但65歲以上老年人口反而增加16萬人。勞動人口減少與高齡人口增加的雙重壓力,將使社會扶養負擔逐年加劇。</p>
|
| 564 |
</div>
|
| 565 |
</div>
|
| 566 |
<div class="overview-item">
|
| 567 |
+
<div class="overview-icon">📈</div>
|
| 568 |
<div>
|
| 569 |
+
<h3>社福支出遽增</h3>
|
| 570 |
+
<p>因應人口老化與物價上漲,三大老人社福支出(中低收津貼、健保補助、敬老禮金)預計將從113年的74億元,大幅膨脹至123年的119億元,對市府財政形成嚴峻考驗。</p>
|
| 571 |
</div>
|
| 572 |
</div>
|
| 573 |
<div class="overview-item">
|
| 574 |
+
<div class="overview-icon">🏘️</div>
|
| 575 |
<div>
|
| 576 |
+
<h3>區域發展失衡</h3>
|
| 577 |
+
<p>產業轉型帶動橋頭、仁武區人口正成長;但田寮、美濃等區人口將大幅減少,且扶老比超過70%,資源分配與在地安老將成為重要課題,需更精準的政策介入。</p>
|
| 578 |
</div>
|
| 579 |
</div>
|
| 580 |
</div>
|
| 581 |
</div>
|
| 582 |
</section>
|
| 583 |
|
| 584 |
+
<!-- Chapter 1: Population Projection -->
|
| 585 |
+
<section class="chapter" id="projection">
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
| 586 |
<div class="container">
|
| 587 |
+
<h3 class="chapter-title">未來十年人口結構推估</h3>
|
| 588 |
<div class="chapter-content">
|
| 589 |
<p>
|
| 590 |
+
根據年輪變動比法(人口CCR法)推估,從民國114年至123年,高雄市總人口數將呈現逐年下降趨勢,預計在123年底降至258萬人,相較113年底的273萬人,共減少15萬人。
|
| 591 |
</p>
|
| 592 |
<p>
|
| 593 |
+
更值得關注的是人口結構的劇烈變化。65歲以上的老年人口將從54萬人增加至70萬人,勁揚29%,佔總人口比例從20%提升至27%。與此同時,15-64歲的主要勞動人口將從189萬人減少至165萬人,大幅減少24萬人。一增一減之間,意味著每100位勞動人口需扶養的老年人數(扶老比)將從29人飆升至43人,社會整體的經濟與照護負擔將顯著加劇。
|
| 594 |
</p>
|
| 595 |
</div>
|
| 596 |
</div>
|
| 597 |
</section>
|
| 598 |
|
| 599 |
+
<!-- Chapter 2: Social Welfare Expenditure -->
|
| 600 |
+
<section class="chapter" id="expenditure">
|
| 601 |
<div class="container">
|
| 602 |
+
<h3 class="chapter-title">老人社福支出衝擊分析</h3>
|
| 603 |
<div class="chapter-content">
|
| 604 |
<p>
|
| 605 |
+
民國113年,高雄市社會局決算中,三大老人社福支出(中低收入老人生活津貼、65歲以上老人健保費補助、重陽節敬老禮金)合計高達74億元,佔福利服務總支出的53%。
|
| 606 |
</p>
|
| 607 |
<p>
|
| 608 |
+
展望未來,在高齡人口基數擴大與消費者物價指數穩定成長的雙重因素推動下,這筆支出將迅速膨脹。推估至123年,中低收入老人生活津貼將增至63億元,老人健保補助費增至45億元,重陽節敬老禮金則增至11億元。三大項目合計總支出將達到119億元,相較113年成長超過60%,顯示現行福利政策將面臨人口結構轉變帶來的放大效應,對財政永續性構成巨大挑戰。
|
| 609 |
</p>
|
| 610 |
</div>
|
| 611 |
</div>
|
| 612 |
</section>
|
| 613 |
|
| 614 |
+
<!-- Pull Quotes -->
|
| 615 |
+
<section class="chapter">
|
| 616 |
<div class="container">
|
| 617 |
+
<div class="pullquote">
|
| 618 |
+
<div class="pullquote-text">
|
| 619 |
+
65歲以上與15-64歲人口消長情形,彰顯未來10年本市社會負擔逐年加劇。
|
| 620 |
+
</div>
|
| 621 |
+
<div class="pullquote-author">— 人口推估結果分析</div>
|
| 622 |
+
</div>
|
| 623 |
+
|
| 624 |
+
<div class="pullquote">
|
| 625 |
+
<div class="pullquote-text">
|
| 626 |
+
現有老人社會福利政策正面臨人口老化帶來的嚴峻挑戰。當前看似可負擔之支出,將隨著未來老年人口倍增而產生「放大效應」。
|
| 627 |
+
</div>
|
| 628 |
+
<div class="pullquote-author">— 結論與建議</div>
|
| 629 |
</div>
|
| 630 |
</div>
|
| 631 |
</section>
|
| 632 |
|
| 633 |
+
<!-- KPI Cards -->
|
| 634 |
<section class="kpi-section" id="kpi">
|
| 635 |
<div class="container">
|
| 636 |
<div class="section-head">
|
| 637 |
<h2>關鍵數字</h2>
|
| 638 |
+
<p>數據呈現未來十年的高雄樣貌</p>
|
| 639 |
</div>
|
| 640 |
<div class="kpi-grid">
|
| 641 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 642 |
+
<div class="kpi-number">258<small>萬人</small></div>
|
| 643 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">123年底預估總人口</div>
|
| 644 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(較113年減少15萬人)</div>
|
| 645 |
</div>
|
| 646 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 647 |
+
<div class="kpi-number">70<small>萬人</small></div>
|
| 648 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">123年底65歲以上人口</div>
|
| 649 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(較113年增加16萬人)</div>
|
| 650 |
</div>
|
| 651 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 652 |
<div class="kpi-number">43</div>
|
| 653 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">123年底扶老比</div>
|
| 654 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(每百名勞動人口扶養43名長者)</div>
|
| 655 |
</div>
|
| 656 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 657 |
+
<div class="kpi-number">119<small>億元</small></div>
|
| 658 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">123年三大老人社福預估支出</div>
|
| 659 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(較113年74億元成長60%)</div>
|
| 660 |
</div>
|
| 661 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 662 |
<div class="kpi-number">+22%</div>
|
| 663 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">橋頭區預估人口成長率</div>
|
| 664 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(全市人口成長率最高)</div>
|
| 665 |
</div>
|
| 666 |
<div class="kpi-card">
|
| 667 |
<div class="kpi-number">-23%</div>
|
| 668 |
+
<div class="kpi-desc">田寮區預估人口減少率</div>
|
| 669 |
+
<div class="kpi-source">(全市人口流失最嚴重)</div>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 670 |
</div>
|
| 671 |
</div>
|
| 672 |
</div>
|
| 673 |
</section>
|
| 674 |
+
|
| 675 |
+
<!-- Timeline -->
|
| 676 |
+
<section class="chapter" id="timeline">
|
| 677 |
<div class="container">
|
| 678 |
<div class="section-head">
|
| 679 |
+
<h2>高齡化與財政負擔時程</h2>
|
| 680 |
+
<p>未來十年的關鍵轉折點</p>
|
| 681 |
</div>
|
| 682 |
<div class="timeline">
|
| 683 |
<div class="timeline-item">
|
| 684 |
<div class="timeline-content">
|
| 685 |
+
<div class="timeline-date">113年</div>
|
| 686 |
+
<div><b>現況基準點</b><br>總人口273萬人,老年人口54萬人,扶老比為29。三大社福支出約74億元。</div>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 687 |
</div>
|
| 688 |
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
|
| 689 |
</div>
|
| 690 |
<div class="timeline-item">
|
| 691 |
<div class="timeline-content">
|
| 692 |
+
<div class="timeline-date">118年</div>
|
| 693 |
+
<div><b>壓力加劇期</b><br>老年人口突破63萬人,扶老比攀升至36。社福支出預估將突破百億大關。</div>
|
| 694 |
</div>
|
| 695 |
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
|
| 696 |
</div>
|
| 697 |
<div class="timeline-item">
|
| 698 |
<div class="timeline-content">
|
| 699 |
+
<div class="timeline-date">123年</div>
|
| 700 |
+
<div><b>挑戰高峰期</b><br>總人口降至258萬人,但老年人口達70萬人,扶老比來到43。三大社福支出將高達119億元。</div>
|
| 701 |
</div>
|
| 702 |
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
|
| 703 |
</div>
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|
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|
| 705 |
</div>
|
| 706 |
</section>
|
| 707 |
|
| 708 |
+
<!-- Charts and Data -->
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| 709 |
<section class="chapter">
|
| 710 |
<div class="container">
|
| 711 |
<div class="section-head">
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|
| 715 |
|
| 716 |
<figure>
|
| 717 |
<div class="chart-placeholder">
|
| 718 |
+
<strong>圖表佔位符:高雄市總人口與扶老比趨勢圖</strong><br>
|
| 719 |
+
類型:長條折線複合圖<br>
|
| 720 |
+
X軸:年度(109年至123年)<br>
|
| 721 |
+
Y軸(左):人口數(萬人),以長條圖呈現<br>
|
| 722 |
+
Y軸(右):扶老比,以折線圖呈現<br>
|
| 723 |
+
重點:清楚顯示總人口下降與扶老比急速上升的反向趨勢。
|
| 724 |
</div>
|
| 725 |
+
<figcaption>資料來源:高雄市政府主計處,依人口CCR法推估。</figcaption>
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|
| 726 |
</figure>
|
| 727 |
|
| 728 |
<figure>
|
| 729 |
<div class="chart-placeholder">
|
| 730 |
+
<strong>圖表佔位符:各年齡層人口變化趨勢</strong><br>
|
| 731 |
+
類型:折線圖<br>
|
| 732 |
+
X軸:年度(109年至123年)<br>
|
| 733 |
+
Y軸:人口數(萬人)<br>
|
| 734 |
+
線條:三條線分別代表 0-14歲、15-64歲、65歲以上人口<br>
|
| 735 |
+
重點:呈現勞動人口(15-64歲)下降,而高齡人口(65歲以上)穩定上升的交叉趨勢。
|
| 736 |
</div>
|
| 737 |
+
<figcaption>資料來源:高雄市政府主計處,依人口CCR法推估。</figcaption>
|
| 738 |
</figure>
|
| 739 |
+
|
| 740 |
<figure>
|
| 741 |
<div class="chart-placeholder">
|
| 742 |
+
<strong>圖表佔位符:三大老人社福支出預估</strong><br>
|
| 743 |
+
類型:堆疊區域圖或分組長條圖<br>
|
| 744 |
+
X軸:年度(113年至123年)<br>
|
| 745 |
+
Y軸:支出金額(億元)<br>
|
| 746 |
+
分類:中低收入老人生活津貼、65歲以上老人健保費補助、重陽節敬老禮金<br>
|
| 747 |
+
重點:視覺化呈現三項主要支出的成長趨勢及總額的快速膨脹。
|
| 748 |
</div>
|
| 749 |
+
<figcaption>資料來源:高雄市政府主計處,依人口推估及物價指數模型計算。</figcaption>
|
| 750 |
</figure>
|
| 751 |
</div>
|
| 752 |
</section>
|
| 753 |
|
| 754 |
+
<!-- Sources -->
|
| 755 |
<section class="sources" id="sources">
|
| 756 |
<div class="container">
|
| 757 |
<div class="section-head">
|
| 758 |
+
<h2>資料來源與參考文獻</h2>
|
| 759 |
</div>
|
| 760 |
<ul class="source-list">
|
| 761 |
+
<li>余清祥、王信忠、陳譽騰."年輪變動比用於小區域人口推估的探討." Journal of Population Studies 63 (2021): 99-133.</li>
|
| 762 |
+
<li>陳孟廷."臺北市人口推估."統計應用分析報告(2020)</li>
|
| 763 |
+
<li>歐長潤."區域人口推估——以桃園為例.”主計月刊第734 期(2017)</li>
|
| 764 |
+
<li>吳彥緯."我國區域人口推估——年輪變動比法之可行性初探”經濟論衡_夏季號_5-1 (2023).</li>
|
| 765 |
+
<li>"健全財政因應超高齡社會來臨." 主計月刊第829期(2025)</li>
|
| 766 |
<li>內政部戶政司全球資訊網「人口統計資料」</li>
|
| 767 |
+
<li>國發會「中華民國人口推估」</li>
|
|
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|
| 768 |
</ul>
|
| 769 |
</div>
|
| 770 |
</section>
|
| 771 |
|
| 772 |
+
<!-- Credits -->
|
| 773 |
<section class="credits">
|
| 774 |
<div class="container">
|
| 775 |
<div class="section-head">
|
| 776 |
<h2>製作團隊</h2>
|
| 777 |
</div>
|
| 778 |
+
<p><strong>報告撰寫</strong>:廖祥凱(高雄市政府主計處)</p>
|
| 779 |
+
<p><strong>資料分析</strong>:高雄市政府主計處</p>
|
| 780 |
+
<p><strong>數位製作</strong>:AI 資料視覺化專家</p>
|
| 781 |
+
<p><strong>發布時間</strong>:2024年</p>
|
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|
| 782 |
</div>
|
| 783 |
</section>
|
| 784 |
|
| 785 |
+
<!-- Back to Top Button -->
|
| 786 |
<button class="back-to-top" id="backToTop" aria-label="返回頂部">↑</button>
|
| 787 |
|
| 788 |
<script>
|
| 789 |
+
document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', () => {
|
| 790 |
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// Navigation highlighting and smooth scrolling
|
| 791 |
+
const navLinks = document.querySelectorAll('.nav-list a');
|
| 792 |
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const sections = document.querySelectorAll('section[id]');
|
| 793 |
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const nav = document.getElementById('nav');
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| 794 |
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const navHeight = nav.offsetHeight;
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| 795 |
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| 796 |
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const updateActiveNav = () => {
|
| 797 |
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|
| 798 |
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| 799 |
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| 801 |
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|
| 802 |
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| 803 |
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|
| 804 |
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| 805 |
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navLinks.forEach(link => {
|
| 806 |
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link.classList.remove('active');
|
| 807 |
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if (link.getAttribute('data-target') === current) {
|
| 808 |
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| 809 |
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|
| 810 |
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|
| 811 |
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| 813 |
navLinks.forEach(link => {
|
| 814 |
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link.addEventListener('click', (e) => {
|
| 815 |
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e.preventDefault();
|
| 816 |
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const targetId = link.getAttribute('href');
|
| 817 |
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const targetSection = document.querySelector(targetId);
|
| 818 |
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if (targetSection) {
|
| 819 |
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// A small timeout allows the scroll to start before updating the nav
|
| 820 |
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// which feels smoother if the user clicks quickly.
|
| 821 |
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setTimeout(() => {
|
| 822 |
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window.scrollTo({
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| 823 |
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top: targetSection.offsetTop - navHeight,
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| 824 |
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behavior: 'smooth'
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| 825 |
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| 826 |
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| 827 |
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}
|
| 828 |
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});
|
| 829 |
});
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| 830 |
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| 831 |
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// Back to top button
|
| 832 |
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const backToTopBtn = document.getElementById('backToTop');
|
| 833 |
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| 834 |
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const toggleBackToTop = () => {
|
| 835 |
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if (window.pageYOffset > 300) {
|
| 836 |
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if (backToTopBtn.style.display !== 'flex') {
|
| 837 |
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backToTopBtn.style.display = 'flex';
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| 838 |
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}
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| 839 |
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} else {
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| 840 |
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if (backToTopBtn.style.display === 'flex') {
|
| 841 |
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backToTopBtn.style.display = 'none';
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| 842 |
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| 843 |
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| 844 |
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| 845 |
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| 846 |
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backToTopBtn.addEventListener('click', () => {
|
| 847 |
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window.scrollTo({
|
| 848 |
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top: 0,
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| 849 |
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behavior: 'smooth'
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| 850 |
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| 851 |
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// Scroll-triggered animations
|
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const fadeElements = document.querySelectorAll('.overview-item, .kpi-card, .pullquote, .timeline-item, figure, .source-list li');
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const observerOptions = {
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|
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|
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const animationObserver = new IntersectionObserver((entries, observer) => {
|
| 863 |
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entries.forEach(entry => {
|
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|
| 865 |
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|
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| 870 |
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|
| 872 |
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|
| 873 |
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animationObserver.observe(el);
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| 874 |
});
|
| 875 |
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// Event listeners
|
| 877 |
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window.addEventListener('scroll', () => {
|
| 878 |
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updateActiveNav();
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| 879 |
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toggleBackToTop();
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});
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// Initial calls
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| 883 |
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updateActiveNav();
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| 884 |
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toggleBackToTop();
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| 886 |
</script>
|
| 887 |
</body>
|
| 888 |
+
</html>
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